Melanie Edmunds

## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026” market reflects a low probability of a YES outcome due to

Based on historical data, rising futures demand alongside contracting spot demand is associated with unsustained price gains during bear seasons. April ended

Warren Buffett used the 2026 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting to warn investors about rising speculation across markets.  Summary Buffett said investors are showing

## Market Snapshot UAE and Qatar diplomatic relations market is relevant, with potential increases in YES outcomes, indicating a likelihood of severed ties.

Placing crypto alongside shadow banking and weapons procurement means Treasury believes it is being used for actual trade settlement. US Treasury Secretary

## Market Snapshot The market for whether Bitcoin’s price will exceed $68,000 on May 3 is currently priced at 99.9% YES. This is

Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund has closed a new $6 billion fund, marking the largest raise in the venture capital firm’s history.  Summary Founders

## Market Snapshot Iran’s potential airspace closure market is currently priced at 12.5% YES for a May 8 resolution, down from 18% 24

While generating a net profit above $1.04 billion, Tether’s excess reserve buffer hit a record $8.23 billion, concentrated in short-duration liquid instruments.