Melanie Edmunds

Coinbase has urged U.S. derivatives regulators to keep prediction markets under existing rules, filing a formal response as legal pressure builds around event-based

## Market Snapshot The market for a potential US invasion of Iran before 2027 currently shows heightened interest, with the threat of a

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has received more than 1,500 public responses on its proposed rule for prediction market event contracts. Summary

## Market Snapshot The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026” market reflects a low probability of a YES outcome due to

Based on historical data, rising futures demand alongside contracting spot demand is associated with unsustained price gains during bear seasons. April ended

Warren Buffett used the 2026 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting to warn investors about rising speculation across markets.  Summary Buffett said investors are showing

## Market Snapshot UAE and Qatar diplomatic relations market is relevant, with potential increases in YES outcomes, indicating a likelihood of severed ties.

Placing crypto alongside shadow banking and weapons procurement means Treasury believes it is being used for actual trade settlement. US Treasury Secretary

Bitcoin failed to hold its weekend move near $79,000 as traders weighed the latest FOMC decision, U.S.-Iran tension, and mixed altcoin action.  Summary

## Market Snapshot The market for whether Bitcoin’s price will exceed $68,000 on May 3 is currently priced at 99.9% YES. This is