Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez has doubled down on a recent prediction of his that the popular cross-border token could be on the verge of a more profound breakout. XRP has remained sluggish over the past few weeks, and even the monthly scale doesn’t show many fluctuations, aside from a couple of rejections at $1.60.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said at XRP Las Vegas on April 30 that if the CLARITY Act does not clear the Senate Banking Committee before the Memorial Day recess on May 21, the bill could be shelved until 2030, as the current tri-branch alignment between the House, Senate, and White House on crypto legislation is
## Market Snapshot The market for Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by June 30 shows a 5.5% YES probability, slightly down from 6%. The Iranian regime fall by June 30 is priced at 6.5% YES, down from 8% a day ago. The probability of an Iran leadership change by December 31 has decreased to 33.5% YES
Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari has shifted from penciling in one or two 2026 cuts to a data‑dependent stance as the Iran war and higher oil muddy the inflation path. Summary Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari says he had expected inflation to cool enough to justify cutting interest rates once or twice in 2026, but
## Market Snapshot The market for MegaETH FDV one day after launch is currently evaluating the likelihood of the FDV exceeding $500M. Markets appear supportive of a YES outcome for this scenario, as recent developments indicate a potential increase in MegaETH’s FDV. ## Key Takeaways – The listing of MEGA on Upbit appears to contribute
Carrot, a Solana-based DeFi yield protocol, announced its permanent shutdown on April 30, 2026, after losing approximately $8 million in total value locked, roughly half its TVL – to the fallout from the April 1 Drift Protocol exploit that drained an estimated $285 million from one of Solana’s largest perpetual futures platforms. Carrot was not
MSTR is up roughly 9.5% year-to-date, placing it ahead of the Nasdaq and the S&P 500, while the BTC backing its treasury is down 13%. Strategy’s MSTR stock snapped a nine-month run of losses in April, climbing 33% as Bitcoin (BTC) rose nearly 12% in the same month, according to data shared by market
137 Ventures has raised over $700m across two new funds, lifting AUM above $15b as it doubles down on AI agents, robotics, advanced industry and a $10b‑plus SpaceX stake. Summary SpaceX backer 137 Ventures has closed more than $700 million across two new funds, lifting its assets under management above $15 billion. The growth-stage firm
## Market Snapshot Next US x Iran Diplomatic Meeting is currently priced with skepticism, suggesting low probability for an imminent meeting. Iran’s Enriched Uranium Surrender market reflects a 0.1% chance for April 30, 2026, and 32.5% for December 31, 2026, indicating minimal expectation for near-term diplomatic breakthroughs. ## Key Takeaways – Trump’s aggressive comments appear
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse declared at XRP Las Vegas that the CLARITY Act will pass by the end of May, his third public deadline for the bill after predicting 80% odds of April passage on Fox Business in February and revising to May at two successive industry events. Summary Garlinghouse first gave 80% odds of