The Gulf Cooperation Council and the United Nations have called for an immediate ceasefire. The US-Iran ceasefire market for April 7 is at 1.8% YES, down from 8% just a day ago. GCC and UN discussions signal ongoing diplomatic efforts, slightly boosting the US-Iran ceasefire by April 15 market to 8.5% YES. The April 30
Researchers at Google DeepMind have warned that the open internet can be used to manipulate autonomous AI agents and hijack their actions. Summary DeepMind researchers have identified six attack methods that can be used to manipulate autonomous AI agents as they browse and act online. The study warned that hidden instructions, persuasive language, and poisoned
Bitfinex supports El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, boosting sentiment for the cryptocurrency’s long-term use. Odds for Bitcoin exceeding $100,000 by June 30 remain undefined. Bitfinex’s backing aligns with El Salvador’s strategy to increase Bitcoin reserves, despite international financial pressures like the 2024 IMF loan agreement. This support adds optimism but isn’t a major market mover. The
Big Tech firms have come together to back a new industry body focused on standardizing how AI agents handle payments across crypto and traditional rails. Summary Big Tech firms including Google, Microsoft and Amazon Web Services backed the launch of the x402 Foundation to standardize AI-driven payment infrastructure. The Linux Foundation introduced the initiative with
The U.S. has informed Israel that negotiations with Iran have hit a deadlock. Odds for a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to 2% YES, down from 8% just yesterday. Later markets show sharper declines. The April 15 ceasefire odds fell to 8% YES from 18%. The April 30 market dropped to 24% YES
The end of the week is here again, which means another batch of crypto options contracts is expiring as spot markets continue to retreat again. Around 27,600 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, April 3, with a notional value of roughly $1.8 billion. This event is smaller than usual, so it is unlikely
Summary Fundrise’s Innovation Fund VCX will be tokenized into a new asset called VCXx in partnership with Kraken’s xStocks platform. VCXx will provide onchain exposure to late-stage private tech companies such as SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Databricks through a single token. Eligible investors will be able to buy VCXx using USDG or U.S. dollars, with
Iran has released a list of Gulf bridge targets following a coalition strike on the B1 Bridge in Karaj. The odds of a US-Iran ceasefire by April 7 have plummeted to 2% YES, down from 8% just a day ago. This escalation has affected several markets. The ceasefire by April 15 now stands at 8%
Uniswap has deployed v2, v3 and v4 on Consensys’ Linea zkEVM, bringing its full DEX stack to a low-fee, EVM-equivalent rollup now integrated across the Uniswap app, API and wallet. Summary Uniswap has deployed v2, v3 and v4 of its protocol on Linea, a zkEVM Layer 2 network built by Consensys. Linea support is live
Explosions occurred near a Revolutionary Guard base in southwestern Iran, pushing the odds of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 to 14% YES, up from 10% yesterday. Traders reacted cautiously to the news. The regime fall market saw a slight increase, with odds at 14%. The April 30 market for US forces entering Iran