U.S. forces have recovered a crew member from a downed F-15E inside Iranian territory, confirming ground operations. Odds for U.S. forces entering Iran by April 30 are at 86.5% YES, up from 62% a day ago. The April 30 market surged due to the operation, with odds jumping 24 points in 24 hours. The most
The POTUS said ‘all hell will reign down’ on Iran. Bitcoin’s calmness saw a brief and minor break as the asset jumped by several hundred dollars to near $67,600 for the first time since Thursday after Trump’s latest warning against Iran. The US President gave the Middle Eastern country 48 hours to reopen the
Elon Musk’s X is rolling out a security feature that will automatically lock any account that mentions cryptocurrency for the first time — requiring additional verification before posting resumes — a direct response to a wave of account hijacking campaigns exploiting social trust to promote scam tokens. Summary X Head of Product Nikita Bier confirmed
U.S. and Iranian forces clashed in southwestern Iran during a U.S. mission to recover a missing F-15E crew member. The “US forces enter Iran by April 30” market now sits at 86% YES, up from 62% just 24 hours ago. The confirmation of U.S. ground operations inside Iran has shifted market odds significantly. The US
March’s $52 million in losses was bad enough, but April has opened with a single incident that resulted in the theft of $285 million. A report from blockchain security firm Peckshield shows that crypto hacks rose 96% in March 2026, with scammers stealing about $52 million in major incidents. It added that a new
Block plans to revive the Bitcoin “faucet” model on April 6 through a new site, btc.day, as Jack Dorsey pushes another public effort tied to Bitcoin access and education. Summary Block will relaunch the Bitcoin faucet on April 6 through a new countdown site, btc.day. The company has not disclosed claim rules, eligibility, or total
Iran’s underground missile bases, or “Missile Cities,” are bolstering its ballistic missile arsenal despite ongoing US-Israel airstrikes. With 2,500-6,000 missiles reportedly protected, the odds of US forces entering Iran by April 30 have increased to 86.5% YES, up from 62% just a day ago. The revelation of these fortified bunkers suggests a strategic shift towards
Ethereum stayed near $2,050 on April 4 as traders weighed price resistance, ETF outflows, and fresh staking activity from the Ethereum Foundation. Summary Ethereum stayed near $2,050 as foundation staking approached 70,000 ETH and resistance held near $2,150. US spot Ethereum ETFs ended the week negative, with more than $42 million withdrawn overall. Analysts said
Iran’s warning of potential escalation has driven the odds of a ceasefire by April 7 down to 1% YES. This marks a sharp decline from 2% just a day ago and 12% a week prior. The warning, amid the ongoing 2026 Iran-U.S.-Israel conflict, intensifies an already volatile situation. With four days until April 7, the
Bitcoin sales by Riot, MARA, and Nakamoto demonstrate how major holders are managing treasury assets in the present volatile climate. In the first quarter of 2026, three major companies made massive Bitcoin sales, in what appears to be a significant change in their treasury strategies. As the broader financial market reels under geopolitical turmoil,