Iran has rejected a temporary ceasefire, demanding guarantees for a permanent end to the war. The odds of a ceasefire by April 7 are at 1% YES, down from 2% a day ago and 12% a week ago. Iran’s decision has hit prediction markets hard. The April 7 market is flat at 1%. The April
The following 36-48 hours are expected to be quiet, but what comes next? A tradition started in early 2026 when the US attacked Venezuela and captured its leader and his wife in the early hours of Saturday morning under Trump’s orders. Iran was also attacked during the first day of the weekend. Perhaps the
A Nevada court has moved to keep Kalshi out of the state’s event-contract market while the legal fight continues. Summary Nevada judge backed regulators and said Kalshi’s event contracts are no different from sports betting. The ruling extends Kalshi’s Nevada ban while the court reviews longer-term restrictions through April 17. The case deepens the clash
Iran’s Parliament speaker expressed willingness for bilateral diplomacy with neighbors. The US-Iran ceasefire odds for April 7 are at 1% YES, down from 12% last week. Traders doubt an immediate ceasefire. The April 7 market remains stagnant despite Iran’s diplomatic gesture. April 15 odds are slightly better at 6% YES, but skepticism persists. The real
The opportunity comes with a few conditions, though. Here’s what traders need to know. The cross-border token of the Ripple ecosystem has presented some mind-blowing price rallies in a few previous market cycles, with the latest example coming after the US presidential elections in late 2024 to mid-2025. However, it has been in a
Santiment said traders were watching a small group of digital assets as the market moved into the weekend. Summary Ethereum and Bitcoin led as traders tracked quantum risks, ETF flows, staking, and price pressure. Solana chatter rose after exploit reports, network issues, and project losses pushed security concerns higher. USDC, Chainlink, and Pippin gained attention
Iran’s call for a permanent end to the conflict is marred by new attacks on Khuzestan’s petrochemical sites and Israeli evacuation alerts in southern Lebanon. The odds for a ceasefire by April 7 have dropped to 1.1% YES, down from 2% yesterday. The likelihood of an early ceasefire is fading as military actions continue. April
Chainlink (LINK) moved back into focus after a large amount of LINK reached Binance during weekend trading. Summary Chainlink moved 19 million LINK, with most tokens sent to Binance during weekend trading hours. LINK traded near $8.63 as RSI stayed below 50 and momentum remained weak overall today. The quarterly unlock renewed focus on Binance
Iran has released footage of Operation True Promise 4 and threatened to target Zionist embassies if attacked. The probability of the Iranian regime falling by June 30 sits at 14% YES, up from 12% yesterday but down from 20% a week ago. The footage and threats highlight Iran’s military capability and leadership stability. The June
HASH has lost the most value over the past 24 hours, while VET has re-entered the top 100 alts after a 9% increase. Bitcoin’s price volatility has disappeared over the past 24 hours, as the asset has remained rangebound around $67,000. Most larger-cap alts have performed similarly, with little to no movements from ETH,